Kurzweil promised robot bodies, virtual avatars, and uploaded minds by the 2030s. Two of three arrived early — the third came through a door he half-missed.
Alphabet’s TidalX has 51 US patents on cameras, anti-startling robot policies, and optical-flow water-current estimators. Salmon farms are the AV stack’s first profitable second act.
A healthy boy was conceived in Guadalajara last year by a robot taking commands from New York, 3,700 km away. The patent record says the first robotic IVF lab is no longer hypothetical.
John Deere put vision-and-spray on five million acres in 2025 and halved herbicide use. The patent trail behind it starts in 2017 and nobody in the tech press noticed.
Kurzweil bet the Pentagon would field the first autonomous machines. Instead a taxi company did — and the guided bullet is still a patent, not a procurement line.
2005 predicted 120-robot DARPA swarms for us. 2025 delivered drones that destroyed 87 percent of our Abrams fleet.
Kurzweil’s 2005 warfare chapter got the shape right and the institutions wrong: FCS died, smart dust didn’t arrive, and Ukraine’s $500 quadcopters are the force he described.