Kurzweil bet on hydrogen cars, microbial cells, and sonofusion in 2005. Silicon photovoltaics quietly won everything.
Kurzweil bet on methanol laptops and coal with sequestration; lithium-ion won, FutureGen died, and the distributed fuel cell is booming — just inside AI data centers.
Solar got cheap, space-to-Earth microwave beaming flew in 2023, and glucose fuel cells power pacemakers — but the molecular-nanotechnology vehicles Kurzweil picked all missed.
In 2024, the USPTO granted 21 patents for materials engineered to radiate heat through Earth’s atmosphere and into the vacuum of space. The technique requires zero electricity. The trick that made it work came from telecom.