Tag: Artificial Intelligence
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In 2024 a machine settled a value of the busy beaver function no human could ever compute by hand — vindicating Kurzweil’s bet on the limits of computation, and the wall that stops both sides.
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Kurzweil bet AI would advance by machine breeding. Every fact he cited was right; the forecast lost to gradient descent by a thousandfold — then quietly came back married to LLMs.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The 2005 Receipts Cashed Out — and the Wave That Actually Hit Wasn’t in the Book
Batch 54: ten claims from 2005 about AI being everywhere, plus one forward bet on VR. The 2005 examples were all real. None of them was the mechanism that mattered.
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He called the 2029 Turing test right and the substrate wrong. Ten predictions on strong AI, uploading, and self-replicating intelligence, scored against April 2026 reality.
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Genetic algorithms were supposed to deliver human-level AI by 2025. Transformers did — on time, and nothing like the path Kurzweil described.