Batch 54: ten claims from 2005 about AI being everywhere, plus one forward bet on VR. The 2005 examples were all real. None of them was the mechanism that mattered.
He called the 2029 Turing test right and the substrate wrong. Ten predictions on strong AI, uploading, and self-replicating intelligence, scored against April 2026 reality.
Genetic algorithms were supposed to deliver human-level AI by 2025. Transformers did — on time, and nothing like the path Kurzweil described.