The 2020s were supposed to inflect life expectancy upward. They didn’t. But the molecular machinery Kurzweil predicted just entered human trials.
A healthy boy was conceived in Guadalajara last year by a robot taking commands from New York, 3,700 km away. The patent record says the first robotic IVF lab is no longer hypothetical.
Kurzweil predicted nano-fuel cells and microwings. We got lithium-ion automotive packs and FAA Stage 4 type certification — same destination, wrong chemistry.
A 1998 migraine pill, an at-home antidepressant trial, and 39 patent grants in 2025 outline a quiet split inside psychedelic medicine.
Twenty years after The Singularity Is Near, some of the rebuttal chapters aged worse than the forecasts. The microtubule critics, the input-latency critics, and the reversible-computing skeptics all have new data.
USAA has more recent US patents than Palantir, Tesla, Spotify, Stripe, Cloudflare, and Airbnb combined. The filings include a laser turret for wildfire embers, a non-Newtonian hail shield, and a geothermal HVAC system.
Kurzweil bet the 2020s would bring three-dimensional computing. He was right about the destination and wrong about the path.
John Deere put vision-and-spray on five million acres in 2025 and halved herbicide use. The patent trail behind it starts in 2017 and nobody in the tech press noticed.
Kurzweil promised by the 2010s we’d wear computers in our clothing and see displays through our contacts. The destination came, but through phones, earbuds, and Ray-Bans — not the vehicles he named.
One Florida company has quietly assembled 16 US patents on drilling into magma. A Syracuse lab just proved the core trick works. Iceland drills KMT-1 in 2026.