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SciPy 1.0 was published in February 2020. In the twelve months ending October 2025 it was cited 1,731 times. That is a five-year-old methods paper picking up roughly five new citations per day, with the rate still climbing. Its acceleration over the prior year is +94 per month, the third highest in the entire top-300…
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Most “trending papers” lists are annual cuts: how many times a paper got cited this year versus last. That misses the shape of the curve. A paper that quietly clocked 200 citations evenly across twelve months looks identical to one that went from 5 per month to 40 per month. The second is actually taking…
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In 2023 the European Society of Cardiology published its first comprehensive guideline on cardiomyopathies. OpenAlex has already logged more than 2,100 citations to that single document, a pace that puts it among the fastest-accelerating clinical papers of 2024. The guideline itself is not the story. The story is what it quietly codified: a drug class…
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Steven Pinker’s Enlightenment Now proves that, on a 200-year baseline, almost everything is up and to the right. Peter Thiel’s The End of the Future argues that, since 1973, almost nothing in the physical world is. Both can be true. The trick is to plot each metric on its own longest available baseline and see…
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Peter Thiel said in 2011 that the future had stalled. Ray Kurzweil said in 2005 that the future was on schedule. Reading both texts now, with a 9.3-million-patent corpus running underneath them, the answer is that they were arguing about different decades — and that the inflection between those decades happened, with disconcerting precision, the…
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What started as a search for hidden innovation in medical devices turned into something bigger — a vision for how AI-driven R&D will need to coordinate across fields, and the infrastructure that doesn’t exist yet.
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Every working system Kurzweil cited in 2005 as evidence the Singularity was underway has since been productized and then replaced by a completely different mechanism.
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He called the 2029 Turing test right and the substrate wrong. Ten predictions on strong AI, uploading, and self-replicating intelligence, scored against April 2026 reality.
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Ten 2005 predictions about adoption, VR, cloning, designer babies, productivity, and poverty. The information predictions beat the schedule. The body predictions all broke.
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Kurzweil predicted immersive VR would replace travel. It did. The substitute just runs on a WebEx-era flat video stack, not a headset.
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In January 2026, the FDA cleared the first-ever human clinical trial of partial epigenetic reprogramming. Life Biosciences began dosing patients with a gene therapy designed to reverse blindness by resetting retinal cells to a younger state. This is the moment the field crossed from animal models into humans. $8.5BLongevity investment (2024) 109%Mouse lifespan extension 61Tissue…
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2005 predicted 120-robot DARPA swarms for us. 2025 delivered drones that destroyed 87 percent of our Abrams fleet.
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Nine of ten plasticity findings Kurzweil cited in 2005 held up. The reverse-engineering synthesis they were supposed to enable did not.
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Kurzweil’s 2005 brain-scanning scouting report named specific labs. The milestones mostly arrived — through different teams entirely.
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Kurzweil’s 2005 neuroscience facts held up. His fMRI and MEG specs got beaten — by instruments he didn’t name.
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Nine of ten neuroscience claims from 2005 held up. The tenth — brain scanning doubling yearly — hit the physics of blood flow and skulls, and Kurzweil concedes it in the 2024 book.