I’m building tools that find hidden connections across scientific fields — using 9 million patents and 357 million academic papers to surface the cross-domain analogies that nobody is looking for. This is where I write about the work, the ideas, and the data emerging from the frontier.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The Brain Was Both Easier and Stranger Than He Predicted
Twenty years after Kurzweil predicted detailed models of hundreds of human brain regions by 2025, the deadline has arrived — and the delivery looks nothing like what he described.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The Fly Got Its Wiring Diagram. The Brain Did Not.
FlyWire mapped 140,000 neurons in an adult fruit fly. MICrONS mapped 523 million synapses in a cubic millimeter of mouse cortex. Neither matches the story Kurzweil told in 2005 about archiving human minds — but the paths we took to get here tell their own.
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Plotting Thiel: Nineteen Long-Baseline Charts Test the Stagnation Thesis
Steven Pinker’s Enlightenment Now proves that, on a 200-year baseline, almost everything is up and to the right. Peter Thiel’s The End of the Future argues that, since 1973, almost nothing in the physical world is. Both can be true. The trick is to plot each metric on its own longest available baseline and see…
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The Receipts Were Real. The Road Was Not.
Every 2004 nanotech demo Kurzweil cited as proof of molecular manufacturing’s trajectory was real. The trajectory wasn’t.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The Bloodstream Got Nanoparticles, Not Nanobots
Kurzweil predicted self-replicating medical nanobots by the 2020s. The bloodstream got lipid spheres instead.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The Face Got Its Computer. The Sky Did Not.
Kurzweil’s 2005 computing predictions split along a clean line: bolt a computer to a face and it ships; bolt one to a star and twenty-one years of exponential scaling has not moved it.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The 2005 Receipts Cashed Out — and the Wave That Actually Hit Wasn’t in the Book
Batch 54: ten claims from 2005 about AI being everywhere, plus one forward bet on VR. The 2005 examples were all real. None of them was the mechanism that mattered.
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Kurzweil Scorecard: The 2005 Proof Points Lived Out Their Useful Life, Then Got Replaced Wholesale
Every working system Kurzweil cited in 2005 as evidence the Singularity was underway has since been productized and then replaced by a completely different mechanism.
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In the Desert, Not the Enchanted Forest: Re-Reading Thiel and Kurzweil From Inside a Nine-Million-Patent Corpus
Peter Thiel said in 2011 that the future had stalled. Ray Kurzweil said in 2005 that the future was on schedule. Reading both texts now, with a 9.3-million-patent corpus running underneath them, the answer is that they were arguing about different decades — and that the inflection between those decades happened, with disconcerting precision, the…
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Kurzweil Scorecard: Strong AI Arrived on Schedule, Through the Wrong Door
He called the 2029 Turing test right and the substrate wrong. Ten predictions on strong AI, uploading, and self-replicating intelligence, scored against April 2026 reality.